Monthly Archives: October 2013

Debt Investing Concept: Credit Curves

Debt Investing Concept: Credit Curves While this post is more particular to high yield and investment grade bonds, than to distressed investing, I believe it is an important concept considering what is going on in certain pockets of the market today. A credit curve is essentially the spread over treasuries of various maturities for a single bond […]

Advertisement

World countries Standard & Poor’s ratings – 3 May 2013

Current Environment in high yield

– Opportunity in high yield still exists given attractive spreads and lower interest rate sensitivity  Fundamentals Corporate balance sheets remain healthy and supportive of the high yield market Companies continue to refinance qt lower rates and extend debt maturity profile Default rates remain around 1%, still well below historical averages (4%) Technicals Retail fund flows […]

Why hedge-fund middlemen must adapt or die

Firms that invest in hedge funds on behalf of large institutions and wealthy individuals—an industry that got its U.S. start in Chicago more than 40 years ago—are recasting their businesses as clients unhappy with an extra layer of fees are bypassing the middlemen. In the most striking local example, Chicago-based Grosvenor Capital Management LP, a […]

I think exports from emerging economies to Europe is the key thing to watch. If the early signs of acceleration (and shrinking of the eurozone’s current account) extended into something more, then it will be a very bullish sign for EM. -Bartosz Paxlowski, Global Head of EM Strategy at BNP Paribas    

BusinessInsider – Wall Street’s Brightest Mind Reveal THE MOST IMPORTANT CHARTS IN THE WORLD

http://www.businessinsider.com/most-important-charts-in-the-world-q4-2013-10#michael-feroli-jpmorgan-8

When Governments Get Involved, All Bets Are Off

Granted it’s a bit a cheap shot to choose USDJPY, where the forecast distribution looks more like the Manhatton skyline than a bell curve, but with the market only being right twice in the last eighteen quarters, you can’t help but fee that when governments and central banks get involved in markets, strategists should take […]

The Whole Debate About The Stock Market

“Normally in th emiddle of an economic cycle, investment spending is 2 to 3 times GDP growth. Strong investment spending is what drives S&P 500 sales and non-financial profits. The whole debate about the S&P is about when this turns back up again.”   — David Bianco, Chief US Equity Strategist at Deutsche Bank  

Alternative Beta

Alternative Beta, in the context of risk premium oriented investing, is a concept that extends the idea of traditional passive investing into the alternative investment space. Alternative beta refers to risk premia which are available in the global capital markets beyond traditional equity or fixed income related long only investments. Generally risk premia are returns […]

Bond Basics: Yield, Price And Other Confusion

Understanding the price fluctuation of bonds is probably the most confusing part of this lesson. In fact, many new investors are surprised to learn that a bond’s price changes on a daily basis, just like that of any other publicly-traded security. Up to this point, we’ve talked about bonds as if every investor holds them […]

“Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.”- Warren Buffett

“Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.”– Warren Buffett

Bridgewater

We believe the best way to manage money is to separate investment alpha (value-added return from active management) from beta (return from passively holding a portfolio) and then create optimal portfolios of each. At Bridgewater, we manage money for clients across most major asset classes by replicating a client benchmark and overlying the benchmark with […]

Short Selling: Conclusion

By Brigitte Yuille Short selling is another technique you can add to your trading toolbox. That is, if it fits with your risk tolerance and investing style. Short selling provides a sizable opportunity with a hefty dose of risk. We hope this tutorial has enabled you to understand whether it’s something you would like to pursue. […]

Short Selling: Ethics And The Role Of Short Selling

By Brigitte Yuille It’s safe to say that short sellers aren’t the most popular people on Wall Street. Many investors see short selling as “un-American” and “betting against the home team” because these sellers are perceived to seek out troubled companies. Some critics even believe that short sales are a major cause of market downturns, such as the crash […]

Short Selling: The Risks

By Brigitte Yuille Now that we’ve introduced short selling, let’s make one thing clear: shorting is risky. Actually, we’ll rephrase that. Shorting is very, very risky. It’s not unlike running with the bulls in Spain: you can either have a great time, or you can get trampled. You can think of the outcome of a short […]

Short Selling: The Transaction

By Brigitte Yuille Suppose that, after hours of painstaking research and analysis, you decide that company XYZ is dead in the water. The stock is currently trading at $65, but you predict it will trade much lower in the coming months. In order to capitalize on the decline, you decide to short sell shares of XYZ […]

Short Selling: Why Short?

By Brigitte Yuille  Generally, the two main reasons to short are to either speculate or to hedge. Speculate When you speculate, you are watching for fluctuations in the market in order to quickly make a big profit off of a high-risk investment. Speculation has been perceived negatively because it has been likened to gambling. However, speculation involves […]

Short Selling: What Is Short Selling?

First, let’s describe what short selling means when you purchase shares of stock. In purchasing stocks, you buy a piece of ownership in the company. The buying and selling of stocks can occur with a stock broker or directly from the company. Brokers are most commonly used. They serve as an intermediary between the investor […]

Short Selling: Introduction

By Brigitte Yuille Have you ever been absolutely sure that a stock was going to decline and wanted to profit from its regrettable demise? Have you ever wished that you could see your portfolio increase in value during abear market? Both scenarios are possible. Many investors make money on a decline in an individual stock or […]

The Fed’s Surprise and Yellen’s Challenge

  Mohamed A. El-Erian Mohamed A. El-Erian is CEO and co-Chief Investment Officer of the global investment company PIMCO, with approximately $2 trillion in assets under management. He previously worked at the Internation… The Fed’s Surprise and Yellen’s Challenge NEWPORT BEACH – The US Federal Reserve sparked a global – and now month-long – guessing […]

Activist Investors ?

Investing, at its core, is often about identification of a pricing anomaly and, thereafter, realization of profit from its correction. The approach of some investors is to take positions and hold onto them in the belief that the market will, over time, also come to recognize the anomaly and correct the value naturally. Others, however, […]

Hedge Fund Sector Review

Hedge Funds Have produced generally positive performance YTD in 2013 through May with fundamental and tactical trading managers benefiting from a more favorable macro economic backdrop and supportive market conditions. Equity  L/S Equity Long/Short managers have generated positive YTD performance through May. While monthly returns have been consistently positive, performance in recent months has been […]

So You Think You Can Start a Hedge Fund? How to Become the Next Ken Griffin, Part 1 – Getting Up and Running

  First, the bad news: you haven’t picked the best time to start a hedge fund (assuming that you are reading this anywhere in between 2011 and the present day). It was much better to get into the gameearly – i.e. the late 90′s or early 2000′s – before everyone else also wanted to start their own […]

HOW THE ECONOMIC MACHINE WORKS