– Opportunity in high yield still exists given attractive spreads and lower interest rate sensitivity
Fundamentals
- Corporate balance sheets remain healthy and supportive of the high yield market
- Companies continue to refinance qt lower rates and extend debt maturity profile
- Default rates remain around 1%, still well below historical averages (4%)
Technicals
- Retail fund flows have been negative for the year but have been positive recently
- Interest rate sensitivity has increased as spreads have tightened and rate volatility has increased
- Capital market activity has been robust due to strong demand and low interest rates
- While new issuance is rending more toward mower rated, refinancing nedds are still the primary use of proceeds
Valuations
- Spreads (+495 bps) are cheap to fundamentals and wider than comparable periods of below average defaults. High yield still provides attractive risk/return trade-off relative to other fixed assets
- We expect positive returns for the balance of 2013 but limited price appreciation; excess returns are likely to remain strong but nominal returns could be impacted by a rise in rates
Source : J.P.Morgan Asset Management